The 1974 Watergate wave washed up in Indiana–the only modern electoral wave favoring Democrats to do so. With the U.S. House preparing to impeach President Trump, can we expect a repeat in the Hoosier state in 2020?
Under current maps, none of Indiana’s Congressional districts have switched parties since 2012. If that holds true in 2020, will it be a first? There’s not quite a “yes” or “no” answer.
It’s generally assumed that national wave elections wash up on shore in most states. But what does the historical record show about wave elections in Indiana? The answer might surprise you.
Back in October of 2013, Niki Kelly wrote an article for the Ft. Wayne Journal Gazette analyzing the number of state legislators who first came into the General Assembly by way of a partisan caucus, rather than through a general election. Five years later, I’ve pulled more data together to re-look at this issue.